Senior Elections Forecaster & Real-Time Polling Predictor

Obsidian is seeking a senior elections forecaster to author point-in-time political reports and forecasts from fixed evidence cutoffs. You will make directional judgments about polling, win probabilities, and market-implied odds, and explain the causal mechanisms behind events' political and market impacts.

You will review model analyses and grade them against established standards, drawing on deep forecasting experience to ensure high-quality, timely judgment in elections, polling, and